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A firearm question for you LeftiesFollow

#327 Jan 17 2013 at 12:24 PM Rating: Good
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#328 Jan 17 2013 at 12:29 PM Rating: Excellent
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Eske Esquire wrote:
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ThinkOutsideTheTV, for example, points to the notion that Sandy Hook could've been a scheme to disarm the American public and destroy the Second Amendment.
Change two words, and you have the exact same thing that was said about the Aurora shooting.
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#329 Jan 17 2013 at 12:30 PM Rating: Excellent
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#330 Jan 17 2013 at 12:31 PM Rating: Excellent
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Kavekk wrote:
If every student had a small explosive charge embedded deep in their brain then any student shooter could be quickly eliminated with minimum collateral damage.

If someone who wasn't a student shot up the school then the charges could give the children a quick, painless death instead.


Would the students look like this?

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#331 Jan 17 2013 at 1:19 PM Rating: Decent
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"This is a simple, logical video. No aliens, holigrams [sic], rituals or anything like that, just facts."


So now we know what Gbaji has been doing during his free time. Smiley: laugh
#332 Jan 17 2013 at 4:44 PM Rating: Decent
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#333 Jan 17 2013 at 6:27 PM Rating: Decent
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TirithRR wrote:
gbaji wrote:
There would not have been more dead kids,


Says you? How do you know that someone else having a gun during the ordeal would not have provoked the gunner further and made him more aggressive? Or that the addition of the other gun causes someone to get hit by an added bullet fire (cause even the most trained people can make mistakes under pressure)? If we are going to play the what if game with the added guns, why ignore the negative possibilities (other than, it makes your point of view seem better)


I'm talking statistically over all potential shootings over time. Of course it's possible that something bad could happen. But then it's possible that a teacher could crash while driving a group of kids to a school event, killing several of them. Life is full of risks. I'm not ignoring the negatives. I'm arguing that the positives vastly outweigh them.

I linked to this in another thread. While not (yet) peer reviewed, the author does present his methodology and is in the process of having it reviewed. As far as he knows, he's the only person who's ever bothered to attempt to compile this kind of data. What's interesting is that he shows that when police end a potential or actual mass shooting, the average number of deaths is 14.29. When civilians end a potential or actual mass shooting, that number drops to 2.33. That's a massively significant difference. It pretty strongly supports the notion that the faster a shooting is ended, the fewer people die, and the most common way a shooting ends "fast" is when civilians intercede. Thus, it seems pretty logical that the best way to minimize the number of people who die in such shootings is to maximize the ability of civilians in the area to end said shooting. That leads us squarely into both concealed carry and removing restrictions on where weapons can be carried.


The likelihood that an armed civilian attempting to stop a shooter will actually increase the number of deaths is low. The likelihood that said armed civilian will decrease the number of deaths is high. It should not require a rocket scientists to noodle out why.

Edited, Jan 17th 2013 4:48pm by gbaji
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#334 Jan 17 2013 at 6:47 PM Rating: Default
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Wait, wait, wait, wait wait just a minute. So security check points are good enough for international airports, government buildings and installations, but not good enough for a grade school? That's laughable.


When thousands of kids are paying hundreds of dollars every time they walk into the school, then we can talk about the practicality of having that level of security in our public schools. Forgive me for restricting my assumptions to the reasonable ones. We can't provide that level of security at schools. It would cost too much. We can, however, just by removing the existing gun-free zone restrictions in schools, essentially get some level of security "free".

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The quickest way to stop a shooter is at the door when the alarm goes off. If you want to prevent him with the ability to shoot, then you need to side with the weapon law enforcements. As long as the weapons exists, you can't do anything to prevent a person from shooting, only put out measures to hinder or deter them from doing it.


Sure. But you seem to be under the impression that we either stop the shooter cold right at the door before he fires a shot, or we can't stop him at all until the police arrive. The reality is that stopping every shooter at the door is a near impossibility, if for no other reason than most (all?) schools have multiple points of entry, and in order to ensure we could stop said shooter right there would require multiple guards at each of them. It's simply not practical.

Let's restrict our options to ones that we can actually do, ok?

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Read above. You're missing the point, which is that armed or not, that isn't a deterrent for a mass shooting. So, while the shooter is stopped sooner, people are still being killed.


If he's stopped sooner, then fewer people are killed. Which is the whole point of this. I'm not precluding other means to attempt to deter or prevent folks from attempting school shootings in the first place. I'm simply suggesting an incredibly simple and cheap solution which would mitigate the harm done during such shootings in the future when/if they occur. Your argument is like insisting there's no reason for seat belts or airbags in cars because the best way to prevent accident fatalities is to avoid ever getting into an accident. Well, in the real world, accidents will happen no matter how much we try to prevent them. Similarly, shootings will happen despite our best efforts. So let's have an extra line of defense aside from just hoping that our background checks, and gun restrictions all work.

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Once you realize that we don't live in Hollywood, you'll see that your 50 year old English teacher wont John Wayne him or herself into a better performance than a trained professional.


Sure. But the 30 something former Marine now teaching math at the local middle school, who is an avid target shooter and has a concealed license *will* be able to do quite a bit. Let's not pretend that all teachers must be elderly and helpless.

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That's why I said if a person were serious about it. If the goal was to kill a specific person or a mass crowd, then s/he wouldn't be just running down the halls, but going into a specific spot. At that specific spot, any opposition will more than likely be dealt with armed or not. Having a gun doesn't prevent you from being shot and killed.


Which goes for the shooter as well, right? Can you at least acknowledge that anyone in the area who attempts to stop the shooter will have a better chance if they are armed than if they aren't? So what's the problem?

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Except I said that the goal of the shooter isn't to avoid death, but to cause the most damage before being killed. The counter is trying to PREVENT the shootings from happening in the first place. While your solution helps to end a shooter on a rampage, it doesn't prevent the rampage. Since the proposed counter is to prevent the rampage, your solution is irrelevant.


Given that we don't currently have any effective means of ensuring we can prevent shootings from occurring, I think my solution is incredibly relevant. Certainly, there's no reason not to pursue it while we work on that magical means of prevention you want to have.

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Read above. So, you believe that a teacher too terrified to physically attack a shooter when attack will gain the courage and skills to take out a shooter while possessing a weapon.


No. I'm saying that everything else staying the same, any attempt by someone to attack the shooter will have a higher chance of success if the person attempting it is armed compared to if they are not. So if we assume that the ratio of people in the area who will try to stop the shooter remains constant, then the rate of success increases with the rate at which those people are armed. Again, this is not rocket science here.

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Once again, unless you're giving children guns, adults will always be the target as they will be the ones to stop the shooting armed or not. Your solution is nice, but it doesn't prevent the mass shooting.


I'm not arguing that this will prevent the shooting. I'm arguing that it will decrease the average number of fatalities that result from shootings. And that's better than *not* reducing that number. Again, I'm not precluding some other plans to prevent shootings. I just don't see any reason why we can't take steps to reduce the number of fatalities from such shootings while we wait for that perfect solution to arrive.


Edited, Jan 17th 2013 4:50pm by gbaji
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#335 Jan 17 2013 at 6:50 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
We can, however, just by removing the existing gun-free zone restrictions in schools, essentially get some level of security "free".

As a parent, I'm not really interested in encouraging more guns around schools just to get some discount "security" by wannabe cowboys.
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#336 Jan 17 2013 at 6:57 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
We can, however, just by removing the existing gun-free zone restrictions in schools, essentially get some level of security "free".

As a parent, I'm not really interested in encouraging more guns around schools just to get some discount "security" by wannabe cowboys.


You trust the faculty of your school with your child's well being every single day Joph. We're not talking about random strangers here. In the grand scheme of things, your child is going to be vastly more affected over the course of his life by a million other actions and decisions his teachers make than whether some of them keep a firearm in a locker in the faculty lounge. Which, hopefully, he'll never even know anyway.

It's a irrational fear.
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#337 Jan 17 2013 at 7:03 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
You trust the faculty of your school with your child's well being every single day Joph.

With guns? Not really, no. Also, I've met his faculty and not a single Marine among them.
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It's a irrational fear.

No, having a bunch of guns around the school for "free security" is an irrational solution.

Edited, Jan 17th 2013 7:04pm by Jophiel
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#338 Jan 17 2013 at 7:16 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
You trust the faculty of your school with your child's well being every single day Joph.

With guns? Not really, no. Also, I've met his faculty and not a single Marine among them.


There a lot of Marines in Chicago Joph? So not one guy who hunts on the weekends, or target shoots? Are you sure? I think you'd be surprised.

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It's a irrational fear.

No, having a bunch of guns around the school for "free security" is an irrational solution.


Why? How is it irrational to fear something that happens? The Newtown shooting happened. The Colorado Theater shooting happened. The Virginia Tech shooting happened. It's not irrational to fear that these sorts of things have happened and thus will happen again, and thus perhaps we should do something to mitigate the harm when they happen.

An irrational fear is being so afraid of private ownership of guns that you're unwilling to allow the people you already trust with your child's wellbeing to have a tool available which might just one day save their lives. That's absolutely insane. There's no rationale for it other than "guns are scary".

Edited, Jan 17th 2013 5:18pm by gbaji
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#339 Jan 17 2013 at 7:40 PM Rating: Good
How in the world could a gun in a teachers locker in the teachers lounge help prevent a school shooting? Is the gunman now gong to wait patiently while the teacher runs to the lounge and grabs his piece??
#340 Jan 17 2013 at 7:46 PM Rating: Good
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Belkira wrote:
Is the gunman now gong to wait patiently while the teacher runs to the lounge and grabs his piece??
Don't be absurd. The gun is just going to appear magically in the hand of the teacher closest to the incident.
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#341 Jan 17 2013 at 8:29 PM Rating: Decent
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Belkira wrote:
How in the world could a gun in a teachers locker in the teachers lounge help prevent a school shooting?


It's not. It will, however, significantly shorten the amount of time it takes an armed person to confront the shooter, and thus decrease the number of people the shooter is likely to kill. Which in turn saves lives. Isn't that our objective here? I get that some of you seem to want to wait for this perfect theoretical solution where we magically make the world free from any possibility of a person with a gun showing up on a school campus and shooting our children, but until that happens, isn't reducing the statistical number of fatalities from such shootings a worthwhile thing to do?

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Is the gunman now gong to wait patiently while the teacher runs to the lounge and grabs his piece??


Does the gunman wait patiently until the police show up? No? So if we assume it takes less time for a teacher to run to their locker and retrieve their gun than it'll take for the police to arrive, then this is better than waiting for the police to arrive, right? I mean, barring that aforementioned mythical magical solution that ends all school shootings, our options are "wait for the police to show up and stop the shooter" or "try to stop the shooter before the police get here". Why not give our faculty members the best chance at doing the latter and perhaps saving some of their students in the process?

Are we really so afraid of guns that we'll ignore this possibility?
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#342 Jan 17 2013 at 8:58 PM Rating: Excellent
So in your hypothetical situation, there is an armed shooter roaming the halls, and the teacher with his gun in the teachers lounge is able to sprint to the lounge, get into his/her locker, and get back to the shooter all without bein shot him/herself? I mean, come on. This only works if the teachers classroom and the lounge are close to each other but nowhere near the shoote, and the shooter doesn't know that there is a weapon in the lounge. Under your hypothetical, the odds of the shooter knowing about the weapon in the lounge is pretty great, since one of your legs of your argument is that if the shooter know there is an armed person in the school, he's less likely to show up.

Not that I am in any way advocating this, but your scenario works much better if the teacher has his/her weapon in the classroom with him/her. Which, lets face it, is just an assinine idea.
#343 Jan 17 2013 at 9:06 PM Rating: Decent
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That's not to mention that the teacher would have to leave their classroom to get said gun from the lounge, which is a big no-no in a situation such as that. But hey, when you are desperate to hold onto your ***** extension you will come up with some of the dumbest ideas.
#344 Jan 17 2013 at 9:07 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Are we really so afraid of guns that we'll ignore this possibility?
Do you hate children so much that instead of trying to think of a real solution you'd much rather just gamble with their lives? I mean, I'm not the biggest fan of other people's kids either, but risking their lives just because you're playing party politics? Shame, really. For one, your link on the statistics of armed civilians vs unarmed? It doesn't take into account that those armed ones were luckily there in the first place, so for "your" solution to work would require a Greg Jenko in every class room, not just one at some random place of a large facility. Something you keep ignoring, by the way. So in reality, the chances are just as good that by the time the designated Morton Schmidt found out about the gunner, ran to where the weapon was stored, got it out of the locked room, prepped it, and ran back there could be the same amount of dead kids.

That doesn't even take into account that now he's possibly out of breath and on an adrenaline high or the lack of training to deal with the situation properly, but there's already enough variables to blow up your hole-laden Death Star of a hypothetical without tossing in some ewoks.
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#345 Jan 17 2013 at 9:42 PM Rating: Excellent
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Belkira wrote:
So in your hypothetical situation, there is an armed shooter roaming the halls, and the teacher with his gun in the teachers lounge is able to sprint to the lounge, get into his/her locker, and get back to the shooter all without bein shot him/herself? I mean, come on. This only works if the teachers classroom and the lounge are close to each other but nowhere near the shoote, and the shooter doesn't know that there is a weapon in the lounge. Under your hypothetical, the odds of the shooter knowing about the weapon in the lounge is pretty great, since one of your legs of your argument is that if the shooter know there is an armed person in the school, he's less likely to show up.

But it works on TV!
#346 Jan 17 2013 at 9:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
There a lot of Marines in Chicago Joph? So not one guy who hunts on the weekends, or target shoots? Are you sure? I think you'd be surprised.

As fun as it might be to try and convince you that the tubby 20-something chick teaching Honors English isn't a retired Mossad sniper or something, I think I'll pass and just trust that I know better than you on this one.

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Why? How is it irrational to fear something that happens?

No, I said it's irrational to suggest that a solution is "free security" via more guns floating around the school. I mean, I thought I was pretty clear about that when I said "No, having a bunch of guns around the school for "free security" is an irrational solution" but I guess you needed the strawman at that point. Hope you didn't shoot him Smiley: frown
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#347 Jan 18 2013 at 6:17 AM Rating: Decent
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It's not. It will, however, significantly shorten the amount of time it takes an armed person to confront the shooter, and thus decrease the number of people the shooter is likely to kill. Which in turn saves lives. Isn't that our objective here? I get that some of you seem to want to wait for this perfect theoretical solution where we magically make the world free from any possibility of a person with a gun showing up on a school campus and shooting our children, but until that happens, isn't reducing the statistical number of fatalities from such shootings a worthwhile thing to do?


Maybe, It depends how much it increases the statistical number of fatalities from gun accidents. Considering there are about 700 fatal gun accidents a year, it's not necessarily a net gain to carry out your plan even on the .0000000000000000000000000000001% chance it would do anything at all to lower the death toll at an event such as this.
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#348 Jan 18 2013 at 7:31 AM Rating: Excellent
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When we can get to the point where our troops, after years of intensive training and drills, kill fewer of our allies with friendly fire than our mutual enemies manage to kill, I'll consider the possibility that an armed teacher/guard might not increase the body count.
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#349 Jan 18 2013 at 7:33 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:


Are we really so afraid of guns that we'll ignore this possibility?

Yes.

What's the chance that an armed teacher or school guard is ever going to encounter and successfully stop an armed whacko in the midst of a mass shooting in their school? answer: extremely slim

Compare that to the chance that the gun that is now in that school is found by a child - whether inadvertently or not, added to the chance that the gun is stolen by a teen, added to the chance that the gun is accidently fired or used in some 'stand you ground' incident that never realistically endangered a child. Answer:orders of magnitude greater

George Zimmerman is a totally sane law abiding responsible gun owner Right? Right. Right until he shoots some innocent unarmed kid.






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#350 Jan 18 2013 at 7:40 AM Rating: Decent
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Gbaji wrote:
If he's stopped sooner, then fewer people are killed. Which is the whole point of this. I'm not precluding other means to attempt to deter or prevent folks from attempting school shootings in the first place. I'm simply suggesting an incredibly simple and cheap solution which would mitigate the harm done during such shootings in the future when/if they occur.Your argument is like insisting there's no reason for seat belts or airbags in cars because the best way to prevent accident fatalities is to avoid ever getting into an accident. Well, in the real world, accidents will happen no matter how much we try to prevent them. Similarly, shootings will happen despite our best efforts. So let's have an extra line of defense aside from just hoping that our background checks, and gun restrictions all work.

......

Which goes for the shooter as well, right? Can you at least acknowledge that anyone in the area who attempts to stop the shooter will have a better chance if they are armed than if they aren't? So what's the problem?

.......

No. I'm saying that everything else staying the same, any attempt by someone to attack the shooter will have a higher chance of success if the person attempting it is armed compared to if they are not. So if we assume that the ratio of people in the area who will try to stop the shooter remains constant, then the rate of success increases with the rate at which those people are armed. Again, this is not rocket science here.

......

I'm not arguing that this will prevent the shooting. I'm arguing that it will decrease the average number of fatalities that result from shootings. And that's better than *not* reducing that number. Again, I'm not precluding some other plans to prevent shootings. I just don't see any reason why we can't take steps to reduce the number of fatalities from such shootings while we wait for that perfect solution to arrive.



Then once again, we're talking about two completely different scenarios as I already pointed out. I already admitted several times that your solution would mitigate the kills, but that's not the topic. The topic is to mitigate the mass shootings, hence the weapon bans. "Don't worry parents, with our new measures, only 10 kids are likely to be killed during a mass shooting. That's less than half from Sandyhook!"


Gbaji wrote:

When thousands of kids are paying hundreds of dollars every time they walk into the school, then we can talk about the practicality of having that level of security in our public schools. Forgive me for restricting my assumptions to the reasonable ones. We can't provide that level of security at schools. It would cost too much. We can, however, just by removing the existing gun-free zone restrictions in schools, essentially get some level of security "free".

....

Sure. But you seem to be under the impression that we either stop the shooter cold right at the door before he fires a shot, or we can't stop him at all until the police arrive. The reality is that stopping every shooter at the door is a near impossibility, if for no other reason than most (all?) schools have multiple points of entry, and in order to ensure we could stop said shooter right there would require multiple guards at each of them. It's simply not practical.

Let's restrict our options to ones that we can actually do, ok?




I do recall stating that the shooter could just shoot the guard at the door, hence why people are against guns in the first place. I said a security checkpoint, a concept ubiquitously used. There's a middle school outside of Ft. Sil, Oklahoma that I visited as part of an assignment from lolphoenix. There's a one-way entrance/exit with a metal detector and a guard. It can be that simple.


Gbaji wrote:

Given that we don't currently have any effective means of ensuring we can prevent shootings from occurring, I think my solution is incredibly relevant. Certainly, there's no reason not to pursue it while we work on that magical means of prevention you want to have.


That's the point. We're trying to create an effective measure to ensure that we can prevent shootings, (i.e. the weapon bans) and you're giving suggestions that do not get us any closer to the desired solution. So, while your solution gives results, it isn't relevant to this discussion, which is how to reduce mass shootings, not the number in mass shootings.

Gbaji wrote:
Sure. But the 30 something former Marine now teaching math at the local middle school, who is an avid target shooter and has a concealed license *will* be able to do quite a bit. Let's not pretend that all teachers must be elderly and helpless.


I'm not. I'm just living in the reality that teachers aren't the most suited for shoot-outs. So, unless you believe otherwise, then you agree.

#351 Jan 18 2013 at 11:29 AM Rating: Good
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Should just get an armed guard for every citizen. I mean Obama gets 24/7 armed guarding. It would be hypocritical of him to deny that to the rest of America.
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