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#77 Feb 06 2015 at 6:45 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
No. I'm saying that the average time per snap during a 2 minute drill is not 22 seconds.

For a running play, from snap to snap....it is! I didn't get my data from wiki, incidentally, but that is a weird coincidence.


Ok. That is a strange coincidence. I did a quick google and saw something mentioning 22 seconds and found the wiki for hurry up offense (which includes a section on 2 minute drills). Where did you get your data from then?

I still stand by the position that time clearly wasn't the factor, so obsessing over average times in the past doesn't tell us anything about the thought process involved. Carroll didn't call a pass play because he didn't think he could run 3 run plays in the time he had. He almost certainly called a pass play to keep the offense honest and force them to at least spend some effort against passes, so as to make future run plays more likely to succeed. And I actually don't disagree with the strategy at all. Going with a pass play probably was the correct call. But, as I've said repeatedly, the pass play he chose was the wrong one. Heck. Even ignoring the whole bit about high risk due to where the ball is being thrown, that's a bad route to run if your intention is to spread out the defense to make runs easier. That also would be better accomplished with out routes rather than in routes.


It was just a really bad play call. Indefensible really. Your team benefited from it. Maybe they would have held them anyway. Maybe Lynch would have fumbled. There's no way to know what might have happened otherwise. No one's saying the Patriots only won because Carroll screwed up, if that's what's getting your hackles up. At least, I'm not. All I'm saying is that that was a really bad play call.

Edited, Feb 6th 2015 4:49pm by gbaji
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#78 Feb 06 2015 at 7:00 PM Rating: Decent
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I still stand by the position that time clearly wasn't the factor, so obsessing over average times in the past doesn't tell us anything about the thought process involved. Carroll didn't call a pass play because he didn't think he could run 3 run plays in the time he had

He did, in fact. Can we be done with this now?

Quote:

“But the point is that, football-wise, we’re coming back, we’re going to run the ball on third and fourth down — whatever we want to do on third and fourth down to win because we’ll use our timeout. Third down, we’d run the football, and if we didn’t score, we’d use the timeout. And then we’d do whatever we needed to on fourth down, depending on where the ball was. It was really clear.

“So it’s not like we abandoned the running game or any of that kind of stuff. It’s the matchup happened, we knew that one of those plays in there we’d have to throw it because you need to stop the clock so that you can get the other two plays run. So that’s basically what happened.


http://blogs.denverpost.com/broncos/2015/02/02/pete-carrolls-postgame-quotes-baffling-seahawks-final-play/32513/
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#79 Feb 06 2015 at 7:02 PM Rating: Good
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I'm not a Pats fan, I'm a Dolphins fan. This has nothing to do with validating the Pats.
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#80 Feb 06 2015 at 7:19 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
I still stand by the position that time clearly wasn't the factor, so obsessing over average times in the past doesn't tell us anything about the thought process involved. Carroll didn't call a pass play because he didn't think he could run 3 run plays in the time he had

He did, in fact. Can we be done with this now?

Quote:

“But the point is that, football-wise, we’re coming back, we’re going to run the ball on third and fourth down — whatever we want to do on third and fourth down to win because we’ll use our timeout. Third down, we’d run the football, and if we didn’t score, we’d use the timeout. And then we’d do whatever we needed to on fourth down, depending on where the ball was. It was really clear.

“So it’s not like we abandoned the running game or any of that kind of stuff. It’s the matchup happened, we knew that one of those plays in there we’d have to throw it because you need to stop the clock so that you can get the other two plays run. So that’s basically what happened.


http://blogs.denverpost.com/broncos/2015/02/02/pete-carrolls-postgame-quotes-baffling-seahawks-final-play/32513/


No. He did not. He chose to burn 40 seconds off the clock between the previous Lynch run (1:06) and the second down pass that resulted in interception (:26). Presumably because he didn't want to score with enough time on the clock to allow the Patriot to score as well. Point being that he choose to do that for reasons other than not actually having enough time to run 3 run plays. He absolutely could have chosen a run play and started it earlier and left himself plenty of time to run two more (especially with a time out at his disposal).

This does not preclude him wanting to stop the clock after already burning that 40 seconds off. But the question isn't whether he threw a pass play to stop the clock but whether he had enough time to run three run plays. He did. He choose to burn time first, then throw a pass to stop the clock. That was a choice made entire for the purpose of minimizing the possible time he might leave to the Patriots. It had *nothing* to do with whether he actually had enough time to run three run plays if he wanted to.

Edited, Feb 6th 2015 5:20pm by gbaji
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#81 Feb 06 2015 at 7:20 PM Rating: Decent
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This does not preclude him wanting to stop the clock after already burning that 40 seconds off. But the question isn't whether he threw a pass play to stop the clock but whether he had enough time to run three run plays. He did.

I'm not sure who you are arguing with? Pete Carroll? He isn't here. He's the one who said he needed a pass as one of the three plays to get them all in, not me.
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#82 Feb 06 2015 at 7:23 PM Rating: Decent
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Smash. You have an amazingly bad habit of switching the words and logic around and arguing in reverse. I said that he had enough time to run three run plays. You countered with "but he threw a pass to stop the clock". I get that. But that doesn't actually disprove the words I actually said. You're not arguing that he could not have run three run plays, but why he chose to run a pass play. That's not actually the same thing and proving one does not disprove the other.
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#83 Feb 06 2015 at 7:25 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
This does not preclude him wanting to stop the clock after already burning that 40 seconds off. But the question isn't whether he threw a pass play to stop the clock but whether he had enough time to run three run plays. He did.

I'm not sure who you are arguing with? Pete Carroll? He isn't here. He's the one who said he needed a pass as one of the three plays to get them all in, not me.


Sigh. But he made the choice to burn the clock first Smash. He did that intending to then use a pass play to stop the clock. That was a choice. It was not a necessity. He absolutely had the time to run three run plays if that was what he wanted to do. Plenty of time. Arguably too much time. What part of this do you not understand?
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#84 Feb 06 2015 at 7:29 PM Rating: Decent
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Sigh. But he made the choice to burn the clock first Smash. He did that intending to then use a pass play to stop the clock. That was a choice. It was not a necessity. He absolutely had the time to run three run plays if that was what he wanted to do.

Oh, sure. Let's be clear, though. That was never, ever, ever, ever your argument and hasn't entered the conversation until just now.
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#85 Feb 06 2015 at 7:31 PM Rating: Decent
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You're not arguing that he could not have run three run plays, but why he chose to run a pass play. That's not actually the same thing and proving one does not disprove the other.

I'm not arguing anything. Pete Carroll is arguing he needed one of the plays to be a pass. You are the only person I've seen disagree.
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#86 Feb 06 2015 at 7:36 PM Rating: Good
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The Seahawks were really only in the position to have a chance there because of some physics fluke that ended with the receiver able to complete the pass anyway.
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#87 Feb 06 2015 at 7:40 PM Rating: Decent
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The Seahawks were really only in the position to have a chance there because of some physics fluke that ended with the receiver able to complete the pass anyway.

That was pretty crazy. I thought my dad was going to have a heart attack over it. Fortunately it worked out ok. It's crazy to think they could pretty easily have won 6 of these things if not for bizarre luck on the other side. They get lucky too, of course, I don't feel they "deserve" to have won the other two, but the mechanism of losing would have been bizarrely similar if that had happened here as well.
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#88 Feb 06 2015 at 8:01 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
Sigh. But he made the choice to burn the clock first Smash. He did that intending to then use a pass play to stop the clock. That was a choice. It was not a necessity. He absolutely had the time to run three run plays if that was what he wanted to do.

Oh, sure. Let's be clear, though. That was never, ever, ever, ever your argument and hasn't entered the conversation until just now.


Except in post #75. I'll admit that I got caught up in the "they couldn't have run three run plays in 30 seconds bit". I thought everyone else remembered that they sat there burning a ton of clock off prior to running that second down play, so I assumed that we were all just arguing kind of a worst case scenario. Sometimes I forget that I have to explicitly state that I'm already giving a ton of ground on a position. I tend to skip right past "even if they didn't burn off 40 seconds which they could have used" because I assume everyone else gets that we're really just arguing a minor side hypothetical.

Yeah. I happen to also think you can run 3 run plays in 26 seconds with one time out left when you're one yard from the goal. That's a purely academic argument, but it's still one I'll argue. But that does not change the fact that if we're actually arguing all of the things Carroll could have done differently, that "not burn that 40 seconds" should be included.


Look. I've already stated (many many times) that I agree with Carroll's decision to burn the time down and then run a pass play. But this does not mean that I don't also think that he could have run 3 run plays in the remaining 26 seconds, or that he could have chosen not to burn the clock and give himself more time to do run plays if he'd wanted to, and it absolutely does not mean that I don't also think that the pass play he choose was a terrible choice to make in that situation.

You get that none of these are contradictory, right? This is not an either-or/pick-one situation. All of those statements can be true. All of those can be argued, by the same person, in the same thread.
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#89 Feb 06 2015 at 8:57 PM Rating: Decent
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Except in post #75. I'll admit that I got caught up in the "they couldn't have run three run plays in 30 seconds bit". I thought everyone else remembered that they sat there burning a ton of clock off prior to running that second down play, so I assumed that we were all just arguing kind of a worst case scenario.

That's an odd way to describe the one that actually occurred in the game. It's not a hypothetical. Everyone else was discussing what actually happened in the game, not what might have happened if Carroll was trying to score and leave enough time for the Patriots to tie or win, because that would be idiotic of him. You know how much time you can run off the clock if you score on second down without running the clock down? None.
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#90 Feb 08 2015 at 8:42 AM Rating: Excellent
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You know what smash, Gbaji has a point. There were a whole bunch of plays in the last quarter that could have been played quite a bit faster. Carrol could have saved minutes of time, which you can clearly use to run the ball three times. Smiley: rolleyes

Quote:
But this does not mean that I don't also think that he could have run 3 run plays in the remaining 26 seconds,
No, it would have been very unlikely he would have been able to run three running plays.

Edited, Feb 8th 2015 8:43am by Xsarus
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#91 Feb 09 2015 at 7:35 AM Rating: Good
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I'm pretty sure gbaji knows his football stuff better'n the superbowl winning massively paid coach.

Why do you guys question him so?
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#92 Feb 09 2015 at 8:48 AM Rating: Good
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This is as exciting as watching them play.
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#93 Feb 09 2015 at 9:04 AM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
This is as exciting as watching them play.
Not very? Smiley: sly
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